Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.593397 0.674361 0.760998 0.860447 0.971293 1.090882 1.229508
2025-07-27 0.489220 0.604956 0.738056 0.901783 1.097055 1.321743 1.599066
2025-08-03 0.401577 0.537636 0.704973 0.924289 1.202321 1.541052 1.982729
2025-08-10 0.329946 0.476459 0.668438 0.935320 1.293099 1.752061 2.380518
2025-08-17 0.274590 0.426063 0.636730 0.946047 1.382465 1.969004 2.808027
2025-08-24 0.232088 0.385497 0.611146 0.959688 1.475013 2.197421 3.272049
2025-08-31 0.194067 0.344394 0.577755 0.956016 1.540433 2.392445 3.706400
2025-09-07 0.168548 0.318099 0.562098 0.975383 1.639762 2.642860 4.240020
2025-09-14 0.142337 0.285697 0.531429 0.966012 1.692084 2.825900 4.687111
2025-09-21 0.124623 0.264910 0.516596 0.979630 1.780716 3.070100 5.245026
2025-09-28 0.105539 0.237926 0.486710 0.962952 1.816079 3.230939 5.682140
2025-10-05 0.096520 0.228971 0.488004 1.000945 1.947247 3.556535 6.407379
2025-10-12 0.088265 0.220332 0.489049 1.039206 2.083752 3.903921 7.198407
2025-10-19 0.078388 0.206331 0.477528 1.052047 2.175173 4.180997 7.890737
2025-10-26 0.068899 0.191332 0.461710 1.054261 2.246477 4.427609 8.547315
2025-11-02 0.060324 0.176736 0.444500 1.051253 2.306864 4.658315 9.190831
2025-11-09 0.053286 0.164487 0.430538 1.053038 2.376208 4.909625 9.887174
2025-11-16 0.047601 0.154553 0.420299 1.061359 2.458945 5.191118 10.656139
2025-11-23 0.041681 0.142653 0.403559 1.052987 2.505884 5.406771 11.315085
2025-11-30 0.037917 0.136086 0.398796 1.071187 2.610154 5.740354 12.217230
2025-12-07 0.033164 0.125446 0.382074 1.059113 2.647417 5.943000 12.878475
2025-12-14 0.030099 0.119368 0.376299 1.072637 2.742162 6.267423 13.796867
2025-12-21 0.026146 0.109386 0.358382 1.053746 2.761576 6.437865 14.418356